In vote terms this couldn’t be tighter

This is extraordinary. In all the time I’ve been covering polling I cannot recall a sequence like the one we are seeing this week. Four polls on the trot all reporting LAB and CON with the same vote shares.

In terms of seats level-pegging suits Ed Miliband much more than it does David Cameron. The latter needs to see his party at least three up across a range of firms to be confident of coming out with most seats.

Nobody is talking about a majority for either of the main parties. Labour’s likely losses in Scotland broadly rule that out while the vote shares required a CON majority have always been a fair bit higher.

For neutrals (and are there any?) this is wonderful election to watch. Uncertainty makes it a much more absorbing spectacle.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble

For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB