No sign of any progress for LAB in Scotland. Wiki list of polls pic.twitter.com/KgYHxAFBZr

— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 20, 2015

Because of the timing of counts the SNP could be ahead nationally at 2am on election night

Overnight we had not one but two new Survation polls from Scotland. One was for Unison and the other was the regular survey for the Daily Record.

The figures are in the Wiki table above and as can be seen, Labour remains in a dire position. The shares are broadly stable.

As has been stated many times the party holds 41 of the 59 Scottish seats and the signs are that it could only be left with a bare handful on the morning of May 8th.

Because, unlike most of England, there are no other major elections taking place in Scotland on May 7th the chances are that many of the early declarations will be from north of the border. In fact it is now being joked that the SNP could be ahead of all parties nationally during the early part of the night.

This is because counts take a lot longer if other elections are held in seats at the same time.

Whatever the overall outcome of GE15 the narrative on the night looks set to be Scottish.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble

For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB