Will there be a 4th consecutive CON YouGov lead tonight?

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Clearly the run of bad polls for Labour is taking its toll and adding to Tory confidence. We are now on three consecutive Tory leads. If we get to four then it will be the best for the blue team since the 2012 budget.

Coming up tomorrow is the Ipsos March political monitor for the Standard which last month had the Tories 2% behind – the only phone pollster with a LAB lead.

On another matter several have asked me why Ladbrokes has not had any live constituency markets for some time. Apparently the firm’s website has been “slimmed down” for Cheltenham because of expected high traffic volumes. Full politics coverage will return after the festival.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble

For latest polling and political betting news follow @MSmithsonPB