Betting that Farage won’t do it in Thanet South is starting to look like a good proposition

Betting that Farage won’t do it in Thanet South is starting to look like a good proposition

If the edge is coming off the purples Farage might fail

I’ve just caught up with the excellent BBC2 programme that was screened on Sunday night – “Meet the Ukippers” which focuses on Thanet South where Nigel Farage is the party’s candidate. It’s really worth watching and gives a great flavour of the battle that is going on.

The big news story from the programme was the expulsion from the party of a local UKIP councillor for some comments she made about black people. For me, however, the most revealing aspects was the high level of hostility that the UKIP/Farage campaign is attracting.

If ever there was a contest that looked set for tactical voting it is this one. The question is which of Farage’s main opponents stands the beat chance? The Tory candidate is a former UKIP leader which might count against him.

Looking at the polling the really remarkable feature is how close LAB was rated there in the earlier surveys which makes the 11/1 on the party a very attractive bet.

I’m already on both the Tory candidate at 9/2 and 6/1 on LAB and have now taken some more on the red team at what seem to be great odds.

The well funded Al Murray campaign might not attract voters to the Oxford-educated comedian but it stokes up the pot and has the potential to hurt Farage.

Mike Smithson

For 11 years viewing politics from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble


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