Latest polls bring just a little bit of relief for LAB but it’s going to be a struggle to win most seats
LAB moves to 4% lead with Populus online
LAB 36=
CON 32-3
LD 9+1
UKIP 13=
GRN 6+2
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 23, 2015
Overnight LAB retained YouGov Sun poll lead
LAB 33%
CON 31%
UKIP 17%
GRNS 8%
LD 7%
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) January 23, 2015
But still this battle is mighty tight
At the end of a week that has seen the worst LAB polling shares since GE10 the latest two polls from Populus and YouGov will come as something of a relief. As can be seen leads of 4% and 2% are recorded.
Ed Miliband’s prospects are so tied up with Scotland and the overnight local by-election news form a ward within Gordon Brown’s constituency won’t have helped things.
On the polling I don’t know what’s coming up this weekend apart from the usual YouGov Sunday Times survey.
The betting, meanwhile, reflects the polling.
LAB & CON still level-pegging on Sporting Index spreads
Mid-points
LAB 282
CON 282
LD 28
UKIP 8.5
SNP 32 -new high