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Month: November 2014

Latest betting prices – GE2015 and possible UKIP defections

Latest betting prices – GE2015 and possible UKIP defections

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Only change on Sporting Index http://t.co/56fhx8BJCR GE spreads. LDs up one seat pic.twitter.com/1P3z6gIpFO — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 22, 2014 William Hill betting http://t.co/orbZ1ewJDz UKIP 5/1 to be part of a coalition – 18 months ago they were 33/1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 22, 2014 William Hill http://t.co/orbZ1ewJDz now make CON 4/6 to win back Rochester. Yesterday morning they were 2/1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 22, 2014

David Herdson on Saturday: We might have passed peak UKIP?

David Herdson on Saturday: We might have passed peak UKIP?

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pic.twitter.com/r9B3dMy5oD — PolPics (@PolPics) November 22, 2014 Is the message from Rochester that 2015 will be ‘close but no cigar’ for Team Farage? Politics can be a contradictory old business. In many ways, UKIP has been the Party of the Year for the second year running. The SNP might dispute that but the reality is that the SNP lost their big vote in September while UKIP won theirs in May, becoming only the third party since WWI to win a…

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CON GE15 prices moves up because Rochester wasn’t as bad as many in the blue team feared

CON GE15 prices moves up because Rochester wasn’t as bad as many in the blue team feared

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Tories helped by UKIP/Farage’s poor expectation management Mood on spread markets is that Rochester good for CON now just 3 seats behind. Sporting Index http://t.co/56fhx8BJCR pic.twitter.com/9v0QsDcpF1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 21, 2014 This morning’s movement means that the CON price has advanced by 7 seats since SPIN opened its market 11 days ago. The money’s now going on CON to retake the seat next May William Hill http://t.co/orbZ1ewJDz now make CON odds on 5/6 favourite to win Rochester back…

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Mark Reckless wins Rochester for UKIP with a majority of 7.2%

Mark Reckless wins Rochester for UKIP with a majority of 7.2%

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Reckless Rochester numbers pic.twitter.com/JST7qvcIM7 — Robin Brant (@robindbrant) November 21, 2014 But can he be confident of holding on next May and will it encourage more defectors? In the end the Rochester result was a lot closer than any of the final polls had suggested but the first stage Mark Reckless’s massive gamble has paid off – he’s back again as MP for Rochester. The winning margin was 7.2% which compared with the gaps of 12% and more that we…

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It’s looking like a UKIP victory but by a tighter margin than any of the polls

It’s looking like a UKIP victory but by a tighter margin than any of the polls

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Ukip leader Nigel Farage confident after polls close in Rochester and Strood by-election http://t.co/xcFUuP1xrG pic.twitter.com/tt7wnpqOrW — ITV News (@itvnews) November 20, 2014 Ukip on around 43%, Tories 35%, Labour 17% at #rochesterbyelection, it's said – http://t.co/kXX2nAdFQn — AndrewSparrow (@AndrewSparrow) November 21, 2014 The 4 Rochester & Strood polls. pic.twitter.com/NeCDkQrtY1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 21, 2014

Marf on Rochester and Harry Hayfield’s local and Westminster by-election preview

Marf on Rochester and Harry Hayfield’s local and Westminster by-election preview

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Bramhall South & Woodford on Stockport (Con Defence) Result of council at last election (2014): Liberal Democrats 28, Labour 22, Conservatives 10, Independents 3 (No Overall Control, Liberal Democrats short by 4) Result of ward at last election (2014): Conservatives 1,862 (45%), Liberal Democrats 1,373 (33%), UKIP 538 (13%), Labour 369 (9%) Candidates duly nominated: David McDonough (Green), John McGahan (Con), Jeremy Meal (Lib Dem), Kathryn Priestley (Lab) Twenty years may seem like a lifetime in local politics and yet…

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