Key seats betting round-up and news of another constituency poll where UKIP doing well
Nick Clegg’s Sheffield Hallam
LAB 7/2 with PaddyPower http://t.co/49a6vU4VyB in Shef Hallam following @LordAshcroft poll with Clegg just 3% ahead pic.twitter.com/lcyKAVksCY
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 29, 2014
Farage’s Thanet South
Punters still backing Farage in Thanet S in spite of @LordAshcroft poll showing him 5% behind pic.twitter.com/PnHO4wVh8U
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 29, 2014
Rochester: Can Mark Reckless repeat by-election success?
Chart showing where the betting money is going for Rochester & Strood at GE15 pic.twitter.com/mjHZ3Sbs4C
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 29, 2014
UKIP in Camborne might be worth a punt. See this from Corporeal
Acting for Exeter University’s Falmouth campus (and their documentary on the 2015 election in Cornwall []) Survation have polled the Camborne and Redruth Constituency
A couple of caveats, sample was 500 and the question wording is slightly different from Survation’s normal format, but with those safely out of the way the numbers made very interesting reading.
The topline results were actually rather spectacular, showing Farming Minister George Eustice losing his seat to UKIP’s surge: UKIP 33% Con 30% Lab 22% Gre 7% LD 6%. Naming candidates in the voting intention question shifted this to a still striking but slightly less dramatic: UKIP 28% Con 34% Lab 18% Gre 6% LD 13%
UKIP 7/2 with PaddyPower http://t.co/49a6vU4VyB in Camborne & Redruth where Survation poll had UKIP ahead this week pic.twitter.com/lZv5mVbqAt
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 29, 2014
Finally from William Hill
William Hill have taken a bet of £870 at 50/1 on UKIP to come out of GE15 with an overall majority
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 29, 2014