The Lib Dems fall into 5th place in this week’s Ashcroft National phone poll
Voting intention with changes in this week's ANP: pic.twitter.com/TfFoYgkYzw
— Lord Ashcroft (@LordAshcroft) October 20, 2014
Earlier the Populus had Lab 36 (+1), Con 34 (+1), LD 9 (-1), UKIP 13 (-1) GRN 5 (+1)
This 3% jump in a single week is a remarkable move by the Greens who now seem to be taking support from across the board but most particularly LAB and the LDs which could conceivably help the Tories in the battlegrounds.
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Like all moves that are out of the ordinary we would have a lot more confidence if it was supported by other surveys and today’s Populus had them on 5% four full points behind the LDs.
For some reason the Ashcroft poll generally reports the highest figures of all for the Greens.
My reading is that none of the so-called “major parties” and their leaders are doing well at the moment and inevitably other forces are coming in to fill the vacuum.
We are in uncharted territory and no one can really predict where this is going. The Lord A data shows that the Greens are now taking more 2010 LD support than UKIP.
What will worry LAB is that the proportion of 2010 LDs voting LAB appears to have fallen as the GRN share has risen.
Feeding today's @LordAshcroft shares into Electoral Calculus LAB would secure working majority of 28 with 31% of vote pic.twitter.com/IJp3tlu7vT
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) October 20, 2014