YouGov and Survation phone polls are out – It is still too close to call.
YouGov sees no change whilst Survation’s phone poll sees No’s lead cut by 2%, all the final polls have No ahead.If no wins, it’ll be the oldies and women that wins it for them
Final YouGov #indyref poll has no ahead
No 52 (nc) Yes 48 (nc)
— The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 17, 2014
New @Survation #indyref phone poll sees
No 53 (-1) Yes 47 (+1)
http://t.co/QYlhTN4gx6
— The Screaming Eagles (@TSEofPB) September 17, 2014
YouGov/Times: The 25 to 29 age bracket favour "yes" by 56-44, while the 16 to 24 & 40 to 59 ages are split 50-50. "No" only ahead among 60+
— Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 17, 2014
…gender split in #indyref still substantial. Men; Yes 54%, No 46%. Women; Yes 43%, No 57% (3/5) http://t.co/XGbxNhr6gm
— Tom Newton Dunn (@tnewtondunn) September 17, 2014
The YouGov poll has a sample size of 3,237. Now size isn’t everything, back in the 2010 General Election, YouGov’s final poll had a sample size of 6,483, they finished 8th in the Political Betting Polling League Table, generally behind pollsters who polled over a 1,000 respondents.
Whilst all the polls have No ahead, as the Times notes
NEW YOUGOV POLL 4 per cent undecideds, enough to swing the result one way or another. 2 per cent will not vote
— Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 17, 2014
YouGov / Times: Some 4 per cent of "Yes" voters say there is a chance they may change their mind, 2 per cent of "No voters."
— Sam Coates Times (@SamCoatesTimes) September 17, 2014
TSE
Don’t forget to enter PB’s indyref prediction competition, where the winner gets £50 in free bets courtesy of Ladbrokes, closing time for entries is 8am BST on Thursday.