ICM phone poll for Guardian has it at 51% NO to 49% YES – too close to call
At current odds the value bet is on YES
BREAKING: Scottish #indyref too close to call says ICM @guardian poll > 42% no, 40% yes, but a full 17% undecided http://t.co/pSmwv00Zl7
— Guardian Scotland (@GdnScotland) September 12, 2014
With the IndyRef so close the value bet must be on YES. £100 bet on Betfair provides winnings of
YES £350
NO £24
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2014
Reason why 17% DKs in ICM phone poll compared with 4% YouGov is that the latter are members of polling panel & therefore more engaged
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2014
Like other polls ICM finds aged 65+ are staunch NO by 61% to 39%
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) September 12, 2014