Survation poll in 13 key CON held marginals finds CON to LAB swing of 9%
New marginals poll by Survation for UNITE union finds 9% CON to LAB swing in key seats pic.twitter.com/q3s7B8pLpS
— Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) August 6, 2014
If this actually happened EdM would win a comfortable majority
Many of the seats in the poll were included within the recent phases of Lord Ashcroft’s marginals polling though his latest numbers suggest a move about one half of what Survation has found.
A 9% swing is far better for Labour than any recent national polls and perhaps points to the marginals operating differently.
Update
A reason why UNITE sponsored the poll was to look at public views on the NHS in the Trans-Atlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP). If the NHS is included the union is concerned that US private healthcare companies would be allowed to bid for contracts within the NHS. 68% told Survation that they opposed the inclusion of the NHS.
Clearly UNITE is trying to raise awareness. My guess is that very few people have any knowledge whatsoever about the planned trade deal.