Marf on a windy day and LAB still struggling to win CON converts
New Populus Voting Intention figures: Lab 38 (-1); Cons 33 (-1); LD 12 (+1); UKIP 9 (-1); Oth 7 (-1) Tables here: http://t.co/yhVZrjsukR
— Populus (@PopulusPolls) October 28, 2013
The chart shows the broad make-up of the current LAB vote according to today’s poll. Although there is the normal variation from pollster to pollster and poll to poll the big picture is the same – very few CON voters from last time have moved into the LAB camp.
Looking back at previous elections where the main opposition party has seen a substantial increase in support from the previous election a large component has been CON>LAB and LAB>CON switching. That is simply not happening this time and if it wasn’t for the seepage of CON votes to UKIP things would look a lot more competitive.
The consolation for for EdM in all of this is that he still retains the 2010 LD switchers.
Mike Smithson
For the latest polling and political betting news