With Dave saying he would welcome the return of Boris to the House of Commons, Hills are offering odds of 4/1 that he will become an MP BEFORE the General Election, and 6/4 that he does so AT the General Election.

This is a tricky calculation for the twice-elected London Mayor. The general election is in May 2015 – his term at City Hall runs until May 2016.

Should he seek the nomination for a seat in the knowledge that he’d have to either resign as Mayor or could do two jobs in parallel for a year?

My guess is that he could only do the latter this if the seat he ran for was in London but it would still be a hard sell.

Clearly Boris wants to be there in the commons when Cameron steps down as leader

BORIS JOHNSON – 1/2 NOT to become an MP at next General Election;6/4 to become MP at next General Election;11/4 to stand as MP before or at General Election; 4/1 to become MP before General Election; 3/1 to win 2016 London Mayor Election; 5/1 To be next Tory Leader;6/1 to become Prime Minister in or before 2020.

TO BE THE NEXT PRIME MINISTER…8/13 Ed Miliband; 12 Yvette Cooper; 14/1 Theresa May; 16/1 Chuka Umunna; 20/1 Boris Johnson.

Mike Smithson

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