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Month: May 2013

It has been working class voters who have been the main driver of the Ukip vote

It has been working class voters who have been the main driver of the Ukip vote

This is what the polling showed in Eastleigh Above is the split for the final Eastleigh poll by Lord Ashcroft. As can be seen it was C2s and DEs who swung most to the purples. We are seeing the same trend in current polling. Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

My prediction: Ukip to gain 100+ seats and get a big result in South Shields

My prediction: Ukip to gain 100+ seats and get a big result in South Shields

South Shields: LAB punters getting slightly nervous on Betfair with price edging out from 1/99 to 1/25.twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 2, 2013 May 2nd 2013: The day could be a turning point in British politics Talking with party activists of all colours last night whose judgement I respect I believe that Ukip are set to do better in today’s local elections than the predictions. Remember that in local by-elections in principal authorities that UKip have chalked up three…

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The politics of Wind farms: Even CON voters are more in favour than against

The politics of Wind farms: Even CON voters are more in favour than against

But Ukip voters express the most opposition By 33% to 31% ComRes poll finds CON supporters would be more likely to vote for candidates in the locals who are in favour of wind farms. — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) May 1, 2013 The findings above are from a new ComRes online poll commissioned by RenewableUK, the trade body for the wind industry. One question, featured above, was on whether voters would be more or less inclined to vote for candidates who…

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Today’s ComRes local elections poll is based on 56pc saying they are certain to vote with a MALE:FEMALE ratio of 6:4

Today’s ComRes local elections poll is based on 56pc saying they are certain to vote with a MALE:FEMALE ratio of 6:4

Note the other methodology qualifications On a night of many polls perhaps the most interesting and relevant to tomorrow’s local elections is the above one from ComRes online which was funded by the Coalition for Marriage – the body that’s been campaigning against the gay marriage proposals. Because of the geographical specifics and likely low turnout this has been a very challenging survey for the pollster to carry out and there are some important qualifications. Unlike normal ComRes voting intention…

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