If Dan Hodges wins his bet with me then Ed will have to stay on the opposition side of the chamber

If Dan Hodges wins his bet with me then Ed will have to stay on the opposition side of the chamber

The initial bet was for £50 – a straight even money wager. Now Dan and I have agreed to raise that to £100.

Labour don’t even need to win a majority to win most seats. It is also possible for them to be a couple of points behind in overall national vote share and still have more MPs.

Dan has consistently argued that Ed Miliband is not up to the task and will, increasingly, be found to be wanting in the run-up to polling day. That’s his view and he’s prepared to back it up with cash.

I live in a super-marginal – the 20th target on Labour’s hit list and even though it’s two years to polling day Labour is being very active. There’s little sign of a CON campaign. If the blues lose Bedford then LAB is almost there.

Mike Smithson

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