Browsed by
Month: February 2013

The Michael Gove story that’s moved his next cabinet exit price from 25-1 to 5-1

The Michael Gove story that’s moved his next cabinet exit price from 25-1 to 5-1

Comments 0 Comment

This is the Gove story that’s moved the next cabinet exit betting. Did Gove know? .. m.guardian.co.uk/politics/2013/… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Is this really going to bring down the minister? Over the past few hours we’ve seen a lot of betting on Michael Gove being the next to leave the cabinet. This afternoon he was at 25/1. He then moved in to 8/1 and is now at 5/1. The devil is in the detail and Gove…

Read More Read More

Replacing Cameron? The polling is clear – Dave is liked more than his party

Replacing Cameron? The polling is clear – Dave is liked more than his party

Comments 0 Comment

A reminder to Tory leadership plotters: The party is a drag on Dave not the other way round – See Ipsos-MORI polling twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Ladbrokes move the “Dave’ll be out” before #GE2015 odds in from 10/1 to 7/1. bit.ly/c5gpH6 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news Follow @MSmithsonPB

David Herdson on the great Hillary #WH2016 guessing game

David Herdson on the great Hillary #WH2016 guessing game

Comments 0 Comment

Is Hillary Clinton going to run in #WH2016?On Betfair she’s 5/2 favourite to get nomination even though she’ll be 69 twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 2, 2013 Would this be a contest too far or success at last? After twenty years at or near the centre of US political life, and four years of Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton can now finally put her feet up and enjoy retirement. Or she can start seriously planning the presidential campaign everyone’s…

Read More Read More

The Lib Dems could cut their losses and leave the Coalition early?

The Lib Dems could cut their losses and leave the Coalition early?

Comments 0 Comment

Henry G Manson on Friday The fallout from the abandonment in boundary changes is already leading to recriminations. The latest upshot from the Conservative Party is to tap into the anger of large donors and target even more Liberal Democrat MPs held seats ahead of 2015. This will delight a number of Conservative MPs and the increasing number apparently frustrated with the Coalition. But it is not without risk. The firm assumption for some time has been that the Coalition…

Read More Read More

LAB YouGov daily poll lead moves back to pre-Cameron EU speech levels. Any bounce seems well and truly over

LAB YouGov daily poll lead moves back to pre-Cameron EU speech levels. Any bounce seems well and truly over

Comments 0 Comment

Today’s LAB YouGov share up to 44% – 12% ahead of CON.Chart shows that the DC EU speech bounce is over twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 55% tell Ashcroft that they want a LAB maj or LAB-LD coalition Lord Ashcroft phone poll finds that 55% want a LAB majority or LAB-LD coalition. 45% want CON maj or CON-LD coalition twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) February 1, 2013 Lord Ashcroft poll finds that 30% want to see the…

Read More Read More