Dick Morris in his Fox News piece on the eve of the election How the national pollsters did A useful table showing the accuracy of the final polls themonkeycage.org/blog/2012/11/0… twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2012 Mike Smithson For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
The afternoon after the night before – Marf gives her take twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2012 If you would like to purchase one of Marf’s prints or originals, please contact her here. For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK Follow @MSmithsonPB
UK-based punters beat the pundits Throughout the long night of the White House race the most striking feature for the punters was how the betting markets were much faster responding to events and the information available than any of the so-called pundits. As the news was coming in I Tweeted a number of shots showing the Romney price movement on Betfair and how sentiment moved so sharply away from the Republican challenger on the basis of the very first exit…
Obama wins – this is from ABC News. twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 7, 2012 In the end the outcome came as as had been predicted for months. Obama had built up leads, albeit very small, in enough of the battle-ground state to push him over the 270 electoral college votes threshold. It was a tense night particularly over Ohio, Virginia and Florida and the margins were narrow. But Obama had chalked up enough victories in the other swing…
And Fox calls Ohio for Obama TSE
Losing Michigan must be a blow for Romney, the state of his birth and the state his was father was the Governor of. TSE
A CNN exit poll has the two candidates tied in Virginia at 49/49 TSE
Romney making recovery on Betfair. Are Obama punters getting nervous? See Romney price chart over 12 hours twitter.com/MSmithsonPB/st… — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 6, 2012 This is the timetable for tonight thanks to Politicalwire showing when voting ends in each state. 0000 GA, IN, KY, SC, VT, VA 0030 NC, OH, WV 0100 AL, CT, DE, DC, FL, IL, ME, MD, MA, MS, MO, NH, NJ, OK, PA, RI, TN 0130 AR 0200 AZ, CO, KS, LA, MI, MN, NE,…