Ohio (18 electoral college votes)

 

Virginia (13 electoral college votes)

 

Florida (29 electoral college votes)

 

Iowa (6 electoral college votes)

 

Will tonight’s final debate change the direction?

This is so so close and I now finding I’m checking the early voting data (good link here) several times as day to see if there’s any discernible movement.

My current betting position is that I’m now back on Romney but am “all in the green” at Betfair which means that I don’t lose any money whatever happens. My reading is that the trend in the betting will move a bit towards to GOP challenger and that should allow me opportunities to trade.

Latest swing state polling

Colorado: Romney 50%, Obama 46% (Rasmussen)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 43% (Angus Reid)

Ohio: Obama 48%, Romney 48% (Angus Reid)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (CBS News/Quinnipiac)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (Morning Call/Muhlenberg)

Pennsylvania: Obama 48%, Romney 44% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Virginia: Obama 47%, Romney 46% (Pulse Opinion Research)

Wisconsin: Obama 51%, Romney 46% (Angus Reid)

Wisconsin: Obama 50%, Romney 47% (Pulse Opinion Research)

I will endeavour to update the above list as new numbers come in.

Mike Smithson

For the latest polling and political betting news from the US and UK

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