What’s the August ICM survey going to show?

What’s your forecast for the August ICM poll? Tick all the answers that apply
	CON share of 34% unchanged
	CON share more than 34%
	CON share less than 34%
	LAB share of 39% unchanged
	LAB share more than 39%
	LAB share less than 39%
	LD share of 14 % unchanged
	LD share more than 14 %
	LD share less than 14 %

As PB regular will know I’ve long regarded the ICM telephone polls as the gold standard. It was the most accurate at the general election and last year had the AV referendum absolutely spot on.

I’m expecting the August data within the net week or so. What do you think the trend will be?

Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB