Can we expect moves before the election? PaddyPower have a market on how many of Cameron/Miliband/Clegg will still be in post at the general election. The prices are:- 11/8 All three in place 4/5 Just two in place 11/2 One in place 20/1 None of them Only problem with the bet is that you’ll have to lock up your cash for, perhaps, three years. @MikeSmithsonOGH
Telegraph How vulnerable are Dave and George? The front page of tomorrow’s Telegraph is dominated by James Kirkup’s story above about the mode of Tory MPs following three difficult weeks. He writes: … speaking both publicly and privately, MPs have identified four areas where they say Mr Cameron should make changes: •The Downing Street machine should be overhauled amid widespread concern that Government policies are being poorly explained to voters, especially those in key marginal seats. • Mr Osborne is…
EdM/NC/DC aggregate net negative ratings=121% Cameron’s personal YouGov ratings now worse than Gordon Brown’s before the 2010 election. Dave’s on -27%, Brown was on -19%. — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 1, 2012 Ed Miliband is on -41% from YouGov – down just 4 on the week.Ed’s latest number 12 points better than his lowest level. — Mike Smithson (@MikeSmithsonOGH) April 1, 2012 Nick Clegg’s YouGov ratings down a net 7 on week to minus 53. That’s 3% up on his…
The “old way” failed to deliver for Labour While I was at Tesco yesterday, I bumped into a local Labour politician who knows the ground there well, who was involved in Labour’s campaign and whose judgement I trust. I put it to him that I expected Labour to win by about 11,000. He said that two weeks ago, so did they. Before going too far into the minutiae, some context. Bradford West was frequently misdescribed in the media as a…