Returning by popular demand – PAPA
Poll/publication | Date | CON % | LAB % | LD % | OTH % |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
ICM/Guardian | 20-Feb-2012 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 13 |
Populus/Times | 20-Feb-2012 | 37 | 39 | 11 | 13 |
Ipsos-MORI/Reuters | 29-Feb-2012 | 35 | 41 | 12 | 12 |
ComRes/Independent | 27-Feb-2012 | 37 | 40 | 13 | 10 |
YouGov/Sun | 29-Feb-2012 | 38 | 40 | 9 | 13 |
***PAPA*** | LATEST | 36.6 | 39.4 | 11.8 | 12.2 |
This is the Politicalbetting All Pollsters’ Average which I hadn’t updated for months. Now AndyJS is administering this for us and will update on a regular basis.
This is calculated by taking a simple average from the latest published surveys of the five main pollsters which have been producing regular polls since the general election and before.
Unlike the “average” produced by YouGov’s Anthony Wells on UK Polling Report PAPA treats all the main polls on the same basis. There is no extra weighting element linked to accuracy and there is no artificial boost for polls that come out more often. Each calculation is based on the latest available poll.
I’m hoping that we can fill in the missing months so that we have a continuous record since 2010 and produce some trend charts
Thanks Andy.