The main overall White House race market on Betfair is this one – on which party will win the election in November. Clearly at the moment we don’t know who the GOP candidate will be and whether there could be a third contender. Donald Trump has been mentioned as has Ron Paul should he not get the Republican nomination.

We’ve also seen Obama’s approval ratings edging back up and generally these can be a good pointer.

In the meantime the Iowa caucus is a week from tonight. The polling has looked tight and it’s hard to confident about any of them.

Then two weeks on from today there’s New Hampshire – the first proper primary.

There’s a lot to play for.

Mike Smithson @MikeSmithsonOGH