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Month: September 2011

Henry G Manson asks: Time to Fell the Tree?

Henry G Manson asks: Time to Fell the Tree?

Are the Conservatives Becoming Enemies of Conservation? The adoption of the tree by the Conservative Party five years ago appeared to signify more than an image re-spray. It built on an important historical strand of conservation running through the Conservative Party which understands in a world of chaotic change, continuity and conservation is increasingly important and reassuring. Tim Montgomorie described this sentiment earlier this year. ‘For us the preservation of the natural environment and good stewardship of the planet’s resources…

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Can Obama be beaten?

Can Obama be beaten?

Betfair Politics Could Obama be beaten? The chart shows the trend in the Betfair “winning party” market in the 2012 White House race. As can be seen sentiment has been moving to the Republican party although this has slightly eased over the past few days. – something that’s been driven by the polls showing a weakening in Obama’s position. His approval ratings, the key measure used in the US, have seen a steady erosion in recent months. It could be…

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Does this put YouGov’s daily movements into context?

Does this put YouGov’s daily movements into context?

Remember Scotland May 5 2011? There was as lot of excitement on Tuesday night when the News International/YouGov daily poll came out showing the Tories on 39% – just one point behind Labour on 40% – the smallest Labour lead for months. Last night’s poll had it looking differently although the changes, Labour up 2 the Tories down 2, were within the margin of error. But how much notice should we take of the daily changes from the online pollster…

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