|23-24 June||ICM/Sunday Telegraph||41||35||16|
|24-25 June||YouGov / Sunday Times||43||36||16|
|22-23 June||YouGov / Sun||42||34||17|
|20-21 June||YouGov / Sun||41||33||18|
|18-20 June||ICM / The Guardian||39||31||21|
|18-20 June||Ipsos MORI/Reuter||39||31||19|
|17-18 June||YouGov / Sunday Times||39||34||19|
|16-17 June||ComRes / Indy on Sunday||36||30||23|
|10-11 June||YouGov / Sunday Times||40||32||18|
|10-11 June||BPIX (YouGov) / Mail on Sunday||39||32||19|
|28-31 May||ComRes / The Independent||37||33||21|
|21-23 May||ICM / The Guardian||39||32||21|
|20-21 May||YouGov / Sunday Times||39||32||21|
|13-14 May||YouGov / Sunday Times||37||34||21|
|12-13 May||ICMÂ / Sunday Telegraph||38||33||21|
|12-13 May||ComRes / Indy on Sunday||38||34||21|
|General Election GB figures||37||29.7||23.6|
What’s this going to do to party nerves?
There are two absolutely devastating polls tonight for the Lib Dems – both showing shares where they haven’t been for a very long time.
What will hurt most is the ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph because its past vote weighting methodology is probably more helpful to the yellows than YouGov. ICM was right at top of the 2010 polling accuracy table.
These numbers will reinforce the coalition doubters within the party and could put Clegg under some pressure. It wasn’t supposed to be like this.
The fact that two pollsters are in the same ball-park will add to their woes and could lead to a re-think of sorts.
It will be interesting seeing the detailed data to look at the churn and retention numbers. The 16% share is nearly eight points down on what they got at the general election.
The ICM share is the lowest the part has has since before Nick Clegg became leader in December 2007.