MORI suggests Labour could lose half its Scottish MPs
Is this a foretaste of what the rest of the UK will be like?
The embargo on tonight’s MORI poll on voting intentions has been broken elsewhere and is in the public domain. Accordingly I feel that we ought to report it here as well.
The big news is contained in the Westminster voting figures in the panel above and point to a LAB>SNP swing of just under 14% – a movement which if replicated on polling day would see dramatic losses for Mr. Brown’s party north of the border.
The projected seat changes would be with comparisons on what happened at the general election: –
CON 4(+3): LAB 21 (-20): LD 9(-2): SNP 25 (+19)
So Labour in what once once a huge power base would be down to just holding just over one third of Scotland’s seats – the beneficiary being the SNP. I think the Scottish Tories will be a tad disappointed that they are not benefiting from Scottish Labour’s dramatic decline.
On Holyrood votng the poll had:-
Holyrood Constituency:
CON 15%: LAB 25%: LD 15%: SNP 38%Holyrood Regional:
CON 15%: LAB 25%: LD 15%: SNP 38%
There have been better numbers for the SNP but not, as far as I can see, by a BPC registered pollster.