ICM has the Tories 15% ahead
CONSERVATIVES 45% (+3)
LABOUR 30% (-1)
LIB DEMS 18% (-1)
Which post PBR survey do you believe?
The fieldwork took place before the Green case blew up but after the YouGov survey that we saw on Wednesday.
This will give a big boost to the Tories and on these figures the party would be returned with a near landslide majority.
ICM’s methodology is more favourable to the Lib Dems of any of the pollsters and this is having a big impact on the Labour numbers.
The Guardian article on the poll is here.
Mike Smithson (on holiday doing this on my phone)