Could they both be heading towards evens? The chart shows the changing John McCain price on the heavily-traded Betfair betting exchange over the past 24 hours. There’s no doubt where the money is going – on John McCain who is now at his highest level ever on this market. My approach to this is to bet against Obama rather than for McCain so you are covered in the event of something untoward happening to the GOP nominee. You would also…
Has the race reached a tipping point? As the chart shows there was a time at during November and December 2007 when the McCain betting price for President reached 40/1 and congratulations to those on the site who were highlighting this at the time and got bets on at what now seem sensational prices. Alas I was not one of them. I took the view that the 72 year old Vietnam veteran was just too old and didn’t give him…
Chancellor Alfred Gusenbauer … and Haider is back, as an unstable Austria prepares to vote This is going to be an extremely busy autumn everywhere – whether in the US, here at home, or in the rest of the world. The Canadian election will be held on 14th October and was previewed in an excellent guest article by Jack Peterson last Sunday, and New Zealand, although we await a firm date, is less than ten weeks away. Two countries are…
The leading political stories from today’s papers Once again, a dismal set of stories for Downing Street, as the fin de siecle feel continues for the government, rather like 1995-7. There’s another unhelpful intervention from Tony Blair, courtesy of the usual “well-placed sources”. Brown should consider standing down rather than face the humiliation of an election defeat, says the former PM, while the same article reports that Ruth Kelly is expected to quit in a Cabinet reshuffle expected this autumn….
Is now the moment to resume spread-betting? Ever though Labour has been in serious trouble since March budget there has been a marked reluctance punters to acknowledge the evidence of the polls and bet on the Tories and against Labour on the commons spread betting markets. Quite why this should have been I do not know especially if you compare the above seat numbers with UKPolling Report projections of what the latest polls suggest if there was a uniform national…
But who will carry out the great lady’s command? With the first of the September conferences, the TUC, just about to start the Guardian columnist, Polly Toynbee, returns to the theme she was developing a few weeks ago that Gordon, the Labour leader that she invested so much in, has to go. Her dismissal of what’s happening at Number 10 is vicious and she clearly she is on a mission. Her first paragraph sets the scene “..The smell of death…
Or is Chris Hune indulging in a little wishful thinking? Chris Huhne, the Lib Dem spokesman on Home Affairs, has written an article for LibDem Voice that seeks to reassure activists the party will in fact do better at the next election than the prophets of doom suggest. He writes: “The new conventional wisdom at Westminster is that the Conservatives are heading for an overall majority at the next election, and that the Liberal Democrats are therefore bound to take…
What’s the point of ousting Gord if Labour would do no better? It seems an age ago, but it was only the end of July, that David Miliband produced his famous Guardian article that was seen as a challenge to Brown’s leadership. The Foreign Secretary denied it of course but the widespread assumption was that he was a laying down a marker for a future leadership challenge. Since then, until today, there has been no proper polling evidence about the…