Election night continued…
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Election night on PBC: let the spinning begin!
Keep posting your news, comment and opinion… 10pm and the polls are closing at last. For many we’ve got a longer wait than usual to wait for the results. A lot of councils which normally do overnight counting have opted to do their main counting in the morning. Still there should be enough coming through to get a sense of what has happened throughout Britain today. If you’ve got any information or comments then this is the place to file…
Where have all the voters gone?
Is turnout low all over the country? The strong impression in Bedford where I have been working today is that turnout is remarkably low and certainly is substantially down on where we were on previous local election days at lunchtime. If this is happening here is the same going on elsewhere? And if there is going to be a really low turnout which parties are going to benefit and which are the losers. One feature we have here for the…
Who’ll win the polling battle of Scotland?
Are punters right to put their money on YouGov? For nearly six years a battle has reigned in the UK polling industry over the internet pollster, YouGov, which first appeared at the 2001 General election and has now become a serious force within the industry. It’s methodologies have been very different and has attracted an enormous amount of criticism – usually from parties which have not shown up well in its surveys. In the run-up to the 2005 General Election…
French election competition – round 2
Can Ségo still beat Sarkozy Predict the winner of the French Presidential Election and their share of the vote to up to two decimal places. Your score will be the difference between your prediction and the actual result. If you predict the wrong winning candidate, a penalty of three percentage points will be added to your score. The entry with the lowest score will win the competition. Tie-breaker What will be the highest percentage vote score by either candidate in…
Ten years ago today
Will retaining Scotland be Blair’s final victory?
Could Tony’s leadership close with a dramatic triumph? Two polls by mainstream pollsters suggest that Labour is closing in on the SNP in the final phase of tomorrow’s Scottish election and hold out the prospect of Blair’s premiership ending on an electoral high. As has often been said here – “nobody ever got rich betting against Tony” ICM in the Scotsman found that the SNP is still ahead – by 2 per cent on the constituency vote and 1 per…
Poll puts Obama ahead for the first time
A new poll tonight from the US firm, Rasmussen, has put the black senator from Illionois, Barack Obama, ahead for the first time in the race for the Democratic nomination. The pollster notes that most of the survey took place before last week’s TV debate of all the democrat challengers in south Carolina. A general view was that Hillary Clinton came out of that on top. Rasmussen has been the most Obama-friendly pollster for some time and this latest survey…