Could the investigation go on until the spring?

The main news in the Mail this morning is that that “detectives are now increasingly confident that the ten-month investigation will end in a criminal court case – either over claims that peerages were traded for political donations, or an attempt to conceal evidence.”

But what could also dominate the political environment is a suggestion in the paper “that a final report on the case is now unlikely to be submitted to the CPS until early spring. It remains possible that Mr Blair could have stepped down as PM by the time prosecutors have reached a decision.”

Quite what this means for the Blair exit date betting is hard to call. The period April- June is still the favourite.

Mike Smithson