The Balance of Money Predictions: E-Day -14
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Two Politicalbetting spread tips now showing profits
Yesterday Labour was moving up in the majority projection but was down just a touch in the vote share share. Today it is the other way round. The big betting reported to us today has been on the Lib Dems in the vote share markets. We tipped this when the buy price was 20.5%. Anybody who took our advice then could get out now with a profit irrespective of the result of the election. The same goes with out turnout spreadbet tip which we suggested buying at 60%.
We now have two daily tracking polls where you get a four or six day moving average. Populus in the Times is showing CON 33: LAB 39: LD 21 while the British Election Study has CON 35.3 (-0.2) : LAB 36.2 (+0.7): LD 20.8 (-1) of “likely voters”. This is the first time that Labour has been ahead.
Today’s most popular conventional markets have been:-
Winning Party – Labour price tightens from 1/16 to 1/20
Bethnal Green & Bow The money goes on George Galloway and the price tightens from 9/2 to 15/8
Lib Dem seats continues to be the most active markets after the main one on the winning party.
NOTE: The regular BALANCE OF MONEY predictions are based on how spread betting gamblers are investing their money on all the main UK markets from Spreadfair, IG Index, and Sporting Index.
A full round-up of all General Election Betting is available here
Mike Smithson