Few market moves as punters consider the impact of Rover

Projected vote shares: LAB 36.25: CON 34.75: LS 21

Projected Election Outcome LAB majority 68 seats (nc)

No new national polls to affect the markets today and there’s been no negative reaction for Labour on the demise of Rover, as might have been expected. The only move on the projected popular vote market has been a slight increase in the Lib Dem position. It seems that punters expect a falling off in the figures that Labour has seen in the recent polls with Charles Kennedy the person who will benefit. These figures are not totally comparable with standard opinion polls which exclude Northern Ireland. Last time Labour’s GB total was 1.3% ahead, the Tory party was 1% and the LDs were half a per cent greater than the all-UK totals.

Our regular BALANCE OF MONEY predictions are based on how spread betting gamblers are investing their money on all the main UK markets from Spreadfair, IG Index, and Sporting Index.

SOUTH WEST POLL. Graham Dumper, a regular contributor to the site, has sent us details of the latest South West Poll which he runs. The vote shares are: CON 38%: LD 33%: LAB 25%. The area covered is the south-west England where in many places the battle is between the Lib Dems and the Tories.

More seat markets come on stream. There are now online bettings markets on nearly 100 seats and more are being added daily. For the most comprehensive round-up click here.

A full round-up of all General Election Betting is available here

Mike Smithson