Due to overseas work commitments this week my access to the internet will restricted so there will only be a limited number of site updates.

The big polling development of the week should be the December Populus Survey in the Times on Tuesday. Last month’s 34% Labour share was the lowest of any organisation and figures in our formula for making projections for the General Election. If that rises in line with the the latest NOP, ICM and CR polls then it will confirm that there is a trend and our projection will be adjusted accordingly.

Keep the comments coming in – they are the best part of the site. I’ll be thinking of you all in Bermuda.

Mike Smithson