Local By-Election Preview : October 27th 2016
Rhyl West on Denbighshire (Lab defence)
Result of council at last election (2012): Lab 18, Ind 12, Con 9, Plaid 7, Lib Dem 1 (No Overall Control, Lab short by 6)
Result of ward at last election (2012) : Emboldened denotes elected
Labour 378, 361 (43%)
Conservatives 106, 99 (25%)
Independent 142 (17%)
Plaid Cymru 125 (15%)
EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 23,955 (46%) LEAVE 28,117 (54%) on a turnout of 69%
Candidates duly nominated: Les Harker (Con), Alan James (Lab), Keith Kirwan (Lib Dem), Norman Shone (Ind), Mark Webster (Ind)
Collington (Ind defence) and Darwell (Con defence) on Rother
Result of council at last election (2015): Con 31, Ind 4, Lib Dem 2, Lab 1 (Con majority of 24)
EU Referendum Result: REMAIN 23,916 (41%) LEAVE 33,753 (59%) on a turnout of 79%
Collington : Emboldened denotes elected
Independents 1,309, 1,220 (40%)
Conservatives 973, 847 (30%)
United Kingdom Independence Party 417 (13%)
Green Party 282 (9%)
Labour 280 (9%)
Candidates duly nominated: Andrew Burton (Con), Deirdre Earl-Williams (Ind), Michael Phillips (UKIP), Sara Watson (Lab)
Darwell : Emboldened denotes elected
Conservatives 1,419, 1,213 (42%)
United Kingdom Independence Party 574 (17%)
Liberal Democrat 564 (17%)
Green Party 510 (15%)
Labour 347 (10%)
Candidates duly nominated: John Barnes (Con), Antonia Berelson (Lab), Edward Smith (UKIP), Mary Varrall (Lib Dem), Andrew Wedmore (Green)
It may have taken me a long time, but with help I have managed to calculate the notional map of the House of Commons for a 600 seat House, therefore tomorrow there will be a summary of all the local by-elections in October, over the weekend the new shrunken House of Commons (and a view as to who the biggest losers are), the next set of local by-elections on November 3rd and then the weekend after that USA 2016, the Congressional Battleground. After all, the real question now is “Can the Dems retake the House and the Senate?”