The April monthly survey by Populus for the Times is being published this evening and first indications are that it’s very bad for Gordon. The headline is already up on the Times web-site and reads “Economic confidence falters as Labour plunges”.

UPDATE: The shares are now available and show CON 39% (+2): LAB 33%(-1 ): LD 17%(-2)

This has not quite lived up to it billing and while a six point margin should put the Tories ahead on seats it is nowhere near what is required for a majority government.

The Lib Dem drop was as predicted here yesterday and follows a week of very bad publicity for Nick Clegg following his GQ interview.

Mike Smithson