The latest crop of polls in the US show Bush just ahead. But Kerry moves ahead if he chooses Edwards as his running mate. Not much movement since pre-Madrid.

For a full round-up all major US polling information go to White House 2004 on this site’s links.

This is going to be very tight and Kerry’s position is not helped by Ralph Nader who could pick up 2-3% of vital votes.

I backed the Democrats at 3.05 on Betfair in January and have now come out taking a profit. Anything below 2.5 does not look good value – sadly.