Fieldwork	Pollster/publication	CON	LAB	LD
23-24 June	ICM/Sunday Telegraph	41	35	16
24-25 June	YouGov / Sunday Times	43	36	16
22-23 June	YouGov / Sun	42	34	17
20-21 June	YouGov / Sun	41	33	18
18-20 June	ICM / The Guardian	39	31	21
18-20 June	Ipsos MORI/Reuter	39	31	19
17-18 June	YouGov / Sunday Times	39	34	19
16-17 June	ComRes / Indy on Sunday	36	30	23
10-11 June	YouGov / Sunday Times	40	32	18
10-11 June	BPIX (YouGov) / Mail on Sunday	39	32	19
1-9 June	Harris/Metro	36	30	25
28-31 May	ComRes / The Independent	37	33	21
21-23 May	ICM / The Guardian	39	32	21
20-21 May	YouGov / Sunday Times	39	32	21
13-14 May	YouGov / Sunday Times	37	34	21
12-13 May	ICM / Sunday Telegraph	38	33	21
12-13 May	ComRes / Indy on Sunday	38	34	21
	General Election GB figures	37	29.7	23.6

What’s this going to do to party nerves?

There are two absolutely devastating polls tonight for the Lib Dems – both showing shares where they haven’t been for a very long time.

What will hurt most is the ICM poll for the Sunday Telegraph because its past vote weighting methodology is probably more helpful to the yellows than YouGov. ICM was right at top of the 2010 polling accuracy table.

These numbers will reinforce the coalition doubters within the party and could put Clegg under some pressure. It wasn’t supposed to be like this.

The fact that two pollsters are in the same ball-park will add to their woes and could lead to a re-think of sorts.

It will be interesting seeing the detailed data to look at the churn and retention numbers. The 16% share is nearly eight points down on what they got at the general election.

The ICM share is the lowest the part has has since before Nick Clegg became leader in December 2007.

Mike Smithson