Kemi now clear betting favourite to be next CON leader

Kemi now clear betting favourite to be next CON leader

Smarkets

It is hard to see Sunak being CON leader in 18 months time. A general election will have had to have taken place during that time period and it is very hard on current polling that there will be anything other than a LAB majority.

The real problem is that the Tories have been in power since May 2010 and there is a big desire for change. Switching the leader several times has had not marked impact on the public view of the Tories – a party that now seems reconciled to being out of government.

A big question for the blue team is how long can it expect to be out of power. In my view that could be a decade or more.

I think that both Kemi and Penny will both be good opposition leaders but will someone else emerge?

Mike Smithson

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