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New IndyRef poll from Survation sees more Scottish people making up their minds but overall picture staying the same

July 11th, 2014

Some bookies tighten the YES betting price

There’s been a flurry of betting activity on the IndyRef overnight with William Hill reporting a fair bit of money going on YES which has resulted in them tightening the price from 5/1 to 9/2.

Maybe this was driven in part by news filtering out of the latest polling, from Survation, which has the big picture remaining the same but with fewer people now saying that they don’t know.

The pollster, alongside ICM and Panelbase, is one that tends to show YES doing better. YouGov and TNS tend to have the worst figures.

Whatever the YES campaign will be cheered that they are holding their own and the gap, after excluding DKs, remains at just 6%. They do, however, need to be making progress. Time is running out.

Mike Smithson

2004-2014: The view from OUTSIDE the Westminster bubble