The first poll of November finds a tad of comfort for Mrs. May and raises questions of LAB

The first poll of November finds a tad of comfort for Mrs. May and raises questions of LAB

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YouGov/Times carried out Tues/Wed CON 40%= LAB 43%+1 LD 6%-2 YouGov Times poll “best PM” ratings TMay 34%+1 Corbyn 31%-2 DK 35% YouGov Times poll – should TMay stand down? Should 32% -6 Should not 42%+3 Changes on month ago 44% tell YouGov Times poll that TMay should sack Boris against 26% saying she should keep him. Rest of sample don’t know With Mrs. May having to say goodbye to two of her 22 cabinet ministers in less than a…

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The big question is how much Corbyn’s LAB can capitalise on the Tory turmoil

The big question is how much Corbyn’s LAB can capitalise on the Tory turmoil

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Will the red team start to replicate its 2012 polling performance With the Tory difficulties that appear to mount by the day the time has come surely for Corbyn’s LAB to make significant advances in the polls. What’s been quite striking since June when LAB exceeded expectations is how the gap between the two main parties has remained relatively constant and on the low side. There’s been the odd poll showing a 6 point gap but mostly it has been…

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When will there be the next Cabinet resignation? William Hill’s new market

When will there be the next Cabinet resignation? William Hill’s new market

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Theresa’s Balliol boys look the most vulnerable These are indeed turbulent times at Westminster with two Cabinet exits in the space of a week. Now Hill’s have opened a market on not WHO will be the next to go but WHEN. These are the options and odds: When Will Next Cabinet Minister Resign (Full Cabinet Members only) 2/1 November 5/2 December 8/1 January 10/1 February 12/1 March 6/4 April or later Clearly there are two who have featured prominently in…

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It’s time Michael Gove got the credit for stopping Boris from becoming Prime Minister

It’s time Michael Gove got the credit for stopping Boris from becoming Prime Minister

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At 25/1 the Environment Sec looks a value leadership bet We all remember that crazy Thursday morning in June last year when Michael Gove announced that he was standing for the Conservative leadership thus scuppering in one blindingly effective stroke the bid by former Mayor of London, Mr Johnson. If anyone can take the credit for undermining the Boris bid for Number 10 it is the Environment Secretary. He did it because he more than anyone could see the inadequacies…

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Patel goes and so the attention will now focus on Boris

Patel goes and so the attention will now focus on Boris

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#Prexit. It's official. Priti Patel has resigned, No.10 sources say. — Paul Waugh MP (@paulwaugh) November 8, 2017 https://twitter.com/jimwaterson/status/928340147778805761 Patel’s problem was always that she had few CON friends https://twitter.com/henrymance/status/928315294644428801

With Priti Patel flying in from Kenya her situation and the government’s gets more complicated

With Priti Patel flying in from Kenya her situation and the government’s gets more complicated

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The Patel saga is getting murkier. Exclusive in Jewish Chronicle: No 10 knew about Patel meetings https://t.co/gDQhL2Q1RR — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) November 8, 2017 Statement from Number 10 re JC story. Priti Patel still due to see PM when she gets off a plane from Nairobi. pic.twitter.com/DCGxklDjde — Theo Usherwood (@theousherwood) November 8, 2017 Very odd. Burt met Israeli Govt people on 22 August. According to @stephenpollard the notes of that meeting referred to Patel having had successful meeting with…

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The Tory turmoil continues as another Cabinet exit appears to be in the offing

The Tory turmoil continues as another Cabinet exit appears to be in the offing

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Signs are that Patel is on the way out Yesterday morning the odds on the International Development Secretary, Priti Patel, being the next cabinet exit were 5/1 with TMay’s deputy, her long standing friend from Oxford, Damian Green the 6/4 favourite. Twenty four hours on things look very different and the view overnight was that Patel wouldn’t survive. Green is still at risk but my guess is that the last thing that TMay wants is for the man who has…

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Today could have been the day when BoJo’s dream of becoming PM finally ended

Today could have been the day when BoJo’s dream of becoming PM finally ended

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Peter Brookes on Boris Johnson gaffe that could see Briton jailed for longer in Iran – political cartoon gallery in Putney pic.twitter.com/eMHbYvRIuw — Political Cartoon (@Cartoon4sale) November 7, 2017 Punters abandon the ex-mayor on TMay successor market The story of BoJo’s unguarded comments on the Brit being held in Iran has been dominating news bulletins for the past couple of days. That the woman could face five more years in jail because of what the Foreign Secretary said wrongly about…

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