The bad news for LAB from Prof John Curtice – Corbyn has NOT solved its turnout problem

The bad news for LAB from Prof John Curtice – Corbyn has NOT solved its turnout problem

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Relying on previous non-voters not a viable winning strategy The conclusion from John Curtice’s new analysis: After the collapse in turnout in the 2001 election (and, indeed, in local elections held at the same time) considerable concern was expressed about the apparent disengagement of voters from the electoral process. A particular source of worry for some was the marked decline in turnout amongst the latest generation of new voters who, it was feared, might now never adopt the habit of…

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To election junkies like me the Cambridge Analytica stuff is fascinating but where is it going to lead?

To election junkies like me the Cambridge Analytica stuff is fascinating but where is it going to lead?

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Isn’t it just election losers seeking to undermine the legitimacy of results? Given the amount of publicity the Cambridge Analytica story has had over the past few days both in the UK and in the US the big question is where is this all going to lead politically? The Westminster SNP leader, Ian Blackford, used both his allocated PMQ questions in the clip shown above. In the US are the revelations going to make it that bit harder for Mr…

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If its Corbyn versus May again next time my money would be on the Tories

If its Corbyn versus May again next time my money would be on the Tories

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Tories now back as odds-on favourites We could be more than four years away from the next general election and it is possible that neither Corbyn or Theresa May will be leading the parties by then. But if the two were to be the main party leaders next time, whenever that is, my money would be on the Conservatives. Firstly it is always the case that we look at elections through the prism of what happened last time rather than…

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UKIP drops to just 1% in latest ICM poll

UKIP drops to just 1% in latest ICM poll

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Tories now 3 points ahead with ICMCON 44+1LAB 41-1LD 8 +1GRN 2 -1UKIP 1 -1 — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 20, 2018 Is it all over now the party’s task is almost complete? Ever since the referendum on June 23rd 2016 life has been pretty difficult for UKIP the party, which undoubtedly played a huge part in shaping this dramatic decision. Since then we’ve all followed the various leadership issues and I chuckled when Fairy liquid produced an advertisement suggesting…

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The Foreign Office goes on the PR offence over Russian Salisbury disinformation

The Foreign Office goes on the PR offence over Russian Salisbury disinformation

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The nerve agent came from Sweden,Ukraine did it to frame Russia,It was contamination from the UK's own research facility… Instead of providing an explanation for the Salisbury incident, Russia has launched a campaign of disinformation pic.twitter.com/dZQMXgnAFp — Foreign Office ?? (@foreignoffice) March 20, 2018 What say you Mr. Corbyn? The above video which has been issued by the Foreign Office looks appears to be a very different approach to diplomacy in relation to Russia than we have seen before. Clearly…

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It looks as though it could be after Easter before Pennsylvania punters get paid

It looks as though it could be after Easter before Pennsylvania punters get paid

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The above from the Wikipedia page on last Tuesday’s Pennsylvania special election sets out the result as it stands at the moment but those who have bet on It are going to have to wait some time before this has been resolved. The on the night winner was the Democratic contender but the margin was a fraction of a percent and it looks as though there will be a recount or some other move that could impact on the outcome….

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