Nancy Pelosi says Trump shouldn’t be impeached + other US developments

Nancy Pelosi says Trump shouldn’t be impeached + other US developments

Ten days to PB’s 15th birthday the latest US political betting developments While everything in the UK has been focussed on Brexit, the Commons votes, and the looming Article 50 deadline of March 29th there’ve been big political betting developments in Trump’s USA. For almost within days of his election in November 2016 betting markets were opened on Trump’s possible impeachment and there’ve been many markets on when he would go. But he’s still there although weaker as a President…

Read More Read More

Something has changed. For the first time I can see how Brexit is delayed and/or revoked and it is all thanks to the ERG

Something has changed. For the first time I can see how Brexit is delayed and/or revoked and it is all thanks to the ERG

Cartoon by Marf I’ve been betting on the assumption of leaving the EU at the end of the month with No Deal for quite some time for the following reasons Brexit: It’s the law that we exit on the 29th of March 2019 No matter how many times MPs vote to say they are opposed to No Deal they need to pass primary legislation to stop No Dea and I think they’ve run out of time to do so. Donkeys…

Read More Read More

Betting opinion moves sharply against TMay’s chances of getting her deal through

Betting opinion moves sharply against TMay’s chances of getting her deal through

The past 24 hours on the "when will the Betfair Commons pass" the vote market@betdatapolitics pic.twitter.com/4wzQAggTTw — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 12, 2019 Spread-betting punters on @sportingindex getting even more negative over Government's prospects tonight Latest spread 240-250 down 28 votes in past 75 minuteshttps://t.co/rSKroIPwt1 … — Mike Smithson (@MSmithsonPB) March 12, 2019 A bid to extend the Article 50 timetable seems the most likely outcome It’s been a very big and active betting morning with punters seeking to gamble…

Read More Read More

Meanwhile Johnson edges up further in the next CON leader betting

Meanwhile Johnson edges up further in the next CON leader betting

Chart Betdata.io   Will it be PM Boris by the end of the year? On the Betfair TMay exit year market TMay the 65% favourite for when she will step down as Party leader and Prime Minister is 2019. This suggests that there’s likely to be a leadership contest this year and no doubt the events that are taking place today in Westminster will have an impact on the eventual outcome of that. A lot of eyes will be on…

Read More Read More

Now all eyes are on the DUP – if they’re happy then a deal more likely

Now all eyes are on the DUP – if they’re happy then a deal more likely

"In politics sometimes you get a second chance. It is what we do with this that counts, because there will be no third chance" EC President Jean-Claude Juncker says an instrument for the NI backstop has been agreed on Latest #Brexit updates: https://t.co/SdXiYVSiTb pic.twitter.com/fNIHzpDfmI — BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) March 11, 2019 It all depends on Cox and Dodds now. — Philip Collins (@PhilipJCollins1) March 11, 2019 The Brexit betting market with one of the biggest movements in the past hour…

Read More Read More

Are we on the point of breakthrough?

Are we on the point of breakthrough?

This may mean nothing at all but May, Juncker, Barnier, Tim Barrow looked ABSOLUTELY delighted arriving tonight in Strasbourg — Laura Kuenssberg (@bbclaurak) March 11, 2019 It’s begun. #Brexit pic.twitter.com/F4PNvxnS3f — Samuel Stolton (@SamuelStolton) March 11, 2019 EU27 source says that May thinks a UK unilateral statement on the backstop will help Cox change his legal advice. The challenge: statement can’t be something EU objects to as it'd be pointless. EU could just have its own unilateral statement saying the…

Read More Read More

A year on since Corbyn’s anti-semitic mural row and the issue continues to plague LAB and its leader

A year on since Corbyn’s anti-semitic mural row and the issue continues to plague LAB and its leader

This could cost LAB more than just Jewish votes It was in March last year that the antisemitic row within LAB gathered media traction following the revelation of his positive response on Facebook in 2012 to what was clearly an anti-semitic mural on the wall of a building in East London. That led amongst other things to demonstrations in Parliament Square against him and the party. Commenting at the time under the heading “Corbyn’s ‘regret’ over an antisemitic mural doesn’t…

Read More Read More