In the US levels of concern about the coronavirus are dependent and whether you are a Democrat or a Republican

In the US levels of concern about the coronavirus are dependent and whether you are a Democrat or a Republican

61% of Dems say they’re worried compared with 37% of Republicans I find the gap here qute extraordinary because it is no way replicated in the UK. That Republicans are that much less concerned suggests that Trump’s controversial apporach is being followed by many of his backers. Mike Smithson

Political rights and wrongs

Political rights and wrongs

Worrying signs of moves towards illiberalism Opposition parties often complain about the unfairness of the rules of the political game. Until they win a majority. Even the Tories have sung this song. Given their attachment to FPTP – which has delivered Tory governments for 45 out of the last 75 years – they have presented self-interest in more technical (unfair boundaries) or high-flown terms. It was Lord Hailsham who popularised the phrase “elective dictatorship” to describe the ability of a…

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Biden moves to 93% chance on Betfair after walloping Bernie in Michigan – a state won by Sanders at WH2016

Biden moves to 93% chance on Betfair after walloping Bernie in Michigan – a state won by Sanders at WH2016

Overnight we have seen another terrible night for Bernie Sanders in the latest range of state primaries. The biggest was Michigan which was taken by Sandesr against Hillary Clinton four years ago and was the first big indicator that all was not well well in the Clinton campaign. Trump then went on to take Michigan by a whisker in the general election itself. Biden’s current margin there over Sanders in Michigan is 18%. This together with what he did a…

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Biden goes into tonight’s primaries as an 88% chance on Betfair for the nomination

Biden goes into tonight’s primaries as an 88% chance on Betfair for the nomination

After his sensational change of fortune just ten days ago ex-VP, 77-year old Joe Biden heads into tonight’s round of primaries. The one that will be most watched is Michigan where Bernie Sanders pulled off a sensational victory of Clinton at WH2016. The polling, this time, is heavily for Biden. Michigan will be a key target for the Dems in Novermber. Amongst the other states tomight are Mississippi abd Missouri where Biden should do well. An interesting one which Bernie…

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My money’s on Layla Moran for Jo Swinson’s old job

My money’s on Layla Moran for Jo Swinson’s old job

s Former odds-on favourite Davey now trailing on Betfair Ever since the former Lib Dem leader, Jo Swinson, unexpectedly lost her seat to the SNP in the general election the former coalition cabinet minister Ed Davey has been the odds on favourite to succeed her. The election itself will take place after the local elections in May and we should know who the new person will be in early July. All this follows the awful general election for the party…

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Trump’s handling of the spread of coronavirus is costing him dear and making the situation in the US far worse

Trump’s handling of the spread of coronavirus is costing him dear and making the situation in the US far worse

New Quinnipiac poll: By 56-40, Biden is seen as better than Trump in a crisis. Among independents, that's 59-33 (!) Among women, that's 63-32 (!!!) The poll is simply awful for Trump. Turns out he doesn't have magical chaos-spreading powers, after all:https://t.co/gM5vA5UTJq — Greg Sargent (@GregTSargent) March 9, 2020 This is from a powerful piece by Brian Klaas in the Washington Post The rapidly worsening coronavirus outbreak is President Trump’s Chernobyl. By putting dangerous myths above objective facts, Trump has turned…

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Sanders trailing by 22% in Michigan – a state where he beat Hillary at WH2016

Sanders trailing by 22% in Michigan – a state where he beat Hillary at WH2016

Ahead of tomorrow’s Michigan primary two new polls have Bernie struggling to repeat his WH2016 performance where he just edged it over Hillary. A  Detroit Free Press/EPIC-MRA poll finds Biden leading Sanders in the primary by 24-points, 51% to 27%. An earlier CNN poll also has Biden with a 20%+ lead Back in 2016 Bernie’s victory by a small margin over Hillary in the state was in retrospect a huge indication that things weren’t going well for the Clinton campaign Michigan…

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