The betting chances of Minnesota Senator Klobuchar getting the VP nomination plummet following the riots sweeping the US
From a 25% chance to a 4% one in a few days The huge story in the US at the moment are the riots in many leading cities which have been set off by the killing of George Floyd by a policeman. Floyd, an African-American, died in Minneapolis on May 25, 2020, when a White Minneapolis police officer, knelt on Floyd’s neck for 8 minutes and 46 seconds. This was all videoed. Minnesota is of course where Klobuchar is from…
Lockdown is over. What next?
Complex and odd rules plus the Cummings effect mean the public will decide for themselves what to do about Covid-19 Winston Churchill did not go out of his way to sell sunny optimism. During the 1930s, much to the irritation of his own party, he led the campaign to rearm the country in the face of a Nazi threat he considered – and said – was much greater and more imminent than the government would allow. On becoming prime minister,…
Two thirds of those polled back the key English lockdown easing measure due on Monday
But Scotland is seen as handling the pandemic better than England
Boris looks as though he’s survived the Cummings lockdown road trip – but at what price?
Can the PM get back to where he was? The above is one of the videos now on YouTube with the words of the Proclaimers 500 Miles song adapted for Mr Cummings and his drive to Durham during the lockdown. This events of the past week have dominated the headlines and become a big talking point. The question is what will be the long term political impact? All the polling as we have seen has been very negative with even…
Tonight’s National Theatre at Home re-run of the The House is a must watch for all political nerds
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6vsSHyjEMrg Tonight on YouTube starting at 7pm there’s a rerun of what to me is best play about politics in years – James Graham’s “This House” chronicling the period 1974 until Mrs. Thatcher’s victory in 1979. It is set in the whips offices of both Labour and Tories from the February 1974 election being called through to 1979. We watch first the period when Labour tried operate without a majority and then as it tries to govern with a majority…
At the start of lockdown Johnson’s Tories had poll leads of upto 26% – now the latest two surveys have that down at 6%
At this rate crossover might happen quite soon On the face of it the polling trends look worrying for the Conservatives and good for LAB which is seeing a lot of progress in getting the gap smaller. However I don’t think we should read too much into this because, of course, the big difference between start of the lockdown and now is that LAB now has a new leader and not the electorally unpopular Corbyn who led the party to…
Joe Biden’s VP pick – we’ve now got a date
This could be by August 1st – two weeks before the convention This is how the Hill is reporting statement’s from the campaign: Former Vice President Joe Biden says he hopes to decide on a running mate by Aug. 1, about two weeks before the Democratic nominating convention in Milwaukee. Speaking at a digital fundraiser hosted by former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg, Biden said his campaign’s vice presidential committee has already interviewed the contenders on his shortlist. “We’re in the process of…