The Betfair WH2020 next President Market is about to reach £50 million of bets matched and there are still more than three months till polling day

The Betfair WH2020 next President Market is about to reach £50 million of bets matched and there are still more than three months till polling day

Comments 0 Comment

What having a controversial figure in the White House does to the betting Above is a screenshot of the Betfair market on who will be next president. We’ve talked about the odds on this for well over a year but what is striking this afternoon is how close the total matched is to £50m. That we should get to that sort of total with more than 3 months to go until November 2nd is quite extraordinary and this will almost…

Read More Read More

Let us not forget how much Corbyn contributed to Johnson’s GE2019 victory

Let us not forget how much Corbyn contributed to Johnson’s GE2019 victory

Comments 0 Comment

This week’s out of court settlement of the case between the LAB party and some of its former employees has put the spotlight once again on former leader Corbyn who twice led to the party to general election defeats. The decision by Corbyn himself to attack the party over this is a reflection that Labour’s internal wars are ongoing. A real problem that the Corbyn backers have to acknowledge is that their man was the main driver of votes switching…

Read More Read More

Laundering Reputations: China and its Uighurs

Laundering Reputations: China and its Uighurs

Comments 0 Comment

It’s time to talk about the Uighurs again. Despite a harrowing Panorama programme and this header, last December no-one was much bothered, beyond some token expressions of concern. What a difference 7 months, a Made in China pandemic, a security law obliterating HK’s freedoms and news of Huawei’s active involvement in the security apparatus used for Uighur persecution make. 25 years after the Srebrenica massacre by Serbs of 8,000 Muslim Bosnian men and boys – the inevitable murderous conclusion of…

Read More Read More

Trump voters maybe far more enthusiastic about their man than Biden ones but that is only part of the story

Trump voters maybe far more enthusiastic about their man than Biden ones but that is only part of the story

Comments 0 Comment

The above chart is from an interesting analysis from Nate Silver’s 538 site on the so-called enthusiasm gap between supporters for the President and his Democratic opponent. This is based on polling that those planning to vote for Trump on November 2nd are twice as likely to say they are enthusiastic about their choice than Biden backers. Inevitably with Trump polling an average nine points behind Biden the President himself and his campaign are looking at plus points from the…

Read More Read More

After another lacklustre Johnson PMQs performance a reminder how well Sunak has been polling

After another lacklustre Johnson PMQs performance a reminder how well Sunak has been polling

Comments 0 Comment

Once again he’s level pegging with Johnson on being “the better PM” One of the most remarkable stories since Johnson became CON leader and PM a year ago has been the rise and rise of Rishi Sunak who just a year ago was parliamentary secretary for local government. Now he’s favourite to succeed Johnson as CON leader and second favourite behind Starmer of becoming the next PM. Historically almost all “best PM” ratings give it to the incumbent by a…

Read More Read More

Being an Anti Vaxxer is something people indulge in when they’re middle-aged

Being an Anti Vaxxer is something people indulge in when they’re middle-aged

Comments 0 Comment

As you get older with your life more at stake you take a different view One of the big concerns as we get closer to getting an effective Covid19 vaccine is that there will be a significant proportion of the population who refuse to take part. The influence of disgraced ex-doctor Andrew Wakefield still runs very deep and we’ve seen how significant public health campaigns like participation in the MMR vaccine by childrens have been seriously undermined. Getting participation rates…

Read More Read More