More than 80 days into the job and Biden’s approval ratings stay very strong

More than 80 days into the job and Biden’s approval ratings stay very strong

Comments 0 Comment

The above chart from Nate Silver’s site show how remarkable strong Biden’s approval ratings have been since becoming President on January 20th. I’ve got a little bet on that he’ll still be in the 50-55% range on his 100 day in office on January 20th. To put them into context during his entire four years as President Trump never made it above 50%. Of course Biden came to power at a critical stage and his government has overseen a massive…

Read More Read More

Johnson-Starmer approval ratings – the great regional divide

Johnson-Starmer approval ratings – the great regional divide

Comments 0 Comment

The above chart has been prepared from the latest Opinium poll which came out for the Observer this evening. Rather than look at the voting numbers which show the Tories with an overall 9% lead what I am focusing on here is how the approval ratings for the two men match up region by region. As can be seen Boris is doing well getting better net figures than Starmer in most of England outside of London but the Labour leader…

Read More Read More

Parliament must return in person and permanently

Parliament must return in person and permanently

Comments 0 Comment

Impressions be damned: governance is even more important Parliament will return from its Easter recess on Monday to allow MPs to make tributes to the late Duke of Edinburgh. It is right that they can do so. Most, however, will continue to dial in via videoconferencing; few will be in the chamber. That is no longer right. Politics is an intensely human business and proximity is power. One reason that the government has been able to act as if there…

Read More Read More

If Biden doesn’t run at WH2024 Buttigieg should be as strong a nomination contender as Harris

If Biden doesn’t run at WH2024 Buttigieg should be as strong a nomination contender as Harris

Comments 0 Comment

Currently he’s a 4% betting chance while she’s a 35% one There seems to be a widespread assumption in the betting that should Joe Biden not be running for the 2024 nomination then Kamala Harris will almost automatically be the chosen one. This is reflected in the betting odds where I believe Buttigieg is under priced and Harris is overpriced. A big reason, I would suggest, is that Buttigieg’s role as US Transportation Secretary is going to give him significantly…

Read More Read More

My email from Boris suggests the Tory database is not as sophisticated as you might expect

My email from Boris suggests the Tory database is not as sophisticated as you might expect

Comments 0 Comment

I have never quite worked out why the CCHQ have me on their database as a supporter and potential donor. Back in October 2009 I did attend a local public event where David Cameron was the speaker and I reported this on PB. To get entry I had to supply my email address. What I cannot understand is why I am still on the list having not responded to anything at all that might be construed as showing support. At…

Read More Read More