How the betting markets reacted to the 1st round result
The actual results were Badenoch: 40 Braverman: 32 Hunt: 18 Mordaunt: 67 Sunak: 88 Truss: 50 Tugendhat: 37 Zahawi:25
Latest betting next CON leader and PM
Next PM betting UPDATED: Penny now the new favourite
I plan to update this chart every hour or so on this critical day with so much happening. The odds featured as usual are based on the latest trades on the Betfair exchange.
So now it is down to 8
Rishi is clear favourite after a morning of campaign launches
It’s been an interesting morning watching one Tory hopeful after another launch their campaigns to succeed Mr. Johnson. Some are making a virtue of promising early tax cuts if they win while others are making a virtue of not rushing into such moves. At one point Mordaunt took over the favourite slot but then Rishi had his launch and normality was resumed. The big hurdle for all is getting to the next stage which requires them to get 20 other…
The battle to find Starmer’s succesor as LOTO?
Is that being too harsh? We now know much more about how the Conservative leadership contest is going to operate with the outcome being revealed in the first week of September. At least it is pretty certain are that the winner will be able to move into Number 10 as Prime Minister and have perhaps two years in the top job. But what about after that? Whoever it is has got a massive task ahead simply to ensure that the…
CON leadership latest
Should we be following Gove & backing Kemi Badenoch?
Would she be Starmer’s worst nightmare? One of the interesting moves in the CON leadership contest is a statement of support from Michael Gove for Johnson’s successor. She’s currently the Minister of State for Local Government and Communities and her boss used to be Michael Gove who has had a big impact on previous Tory leadership races. A quick search on YouTube finds her coming over as a very effective speaker. This is how James Forsyth in the Speccie rates…