The papers are in no doubt about the Tory winner
In the betting Mordaunt is still odds-on Today I wonder whether we could see withdrawals that would shorten this stage of the process. The former cabinet minister in TMay’s government looks in a very strong position but things can happen in leadership races. My guess is that we could start to see some parts of the media starting to dig to see if they can find out something negative about Mordaunt. For she is relatively unknown outside Westminster and her…
How the betting markets reacted to the 1st round result
The actual results were Badenoch: 40 Braverman: 32 Hunt: 18 Mordaunt: 67 Sunak: 88 Truss: 50 Tugendhat: 37 Zahawi:25
Latest betting next CON leader and PM
Next PM betting UPDATED: Penny now the new favourite
I plan to update this chart every hour or so on this critical day with so much happening. The odds featured as usual are based on the latest trades on the Betfair exchange.
So now it is down to 8
Rishi is clear favourite after a morning of campaign launches
It’s been an interesting morning watching one Tory hopeful after another launch their campaigns to succeed Mr. Johnson. Some are making a virtue of promising early tax cuts if they win while others are making a virtue of not rushing into such moves. At one point Mordaunt took over the favourite slot but then Rishi had his launch and normality was resumed. The big hurdle for all is getting to the next stage which requires them to get 20 other…
The battle to find Starmer’s succesor as LOTO?
Is that being too harsh? We now know much more about how the Conservative leadership contest is going to operate with the outcome being revealed in the first week of September. At least it is pretty certain are that the winner will be able to move into Number 10 as Prime Minister and have perhaps two years in the top job. But what about after that? Whoever it is has got a massive task ahead simply to ensure that the…