The Arc of History

The Arc of History

“Courage calls to courage everywhere, and its voice cannot be denied.”  Those words of Millicent Fawcett are echoed by what we saw on the streets of London yesterday. A pro-Iranian women march met up with a pro-Ukraine one, both chanting “All together we will win.” A large screen in Piccadilly Circus displayed the motto “Woman, Life, Freedom” in solidarity with Iranian protestors. Lovely to see, but no courage is needed to do this in Britain. Brave Ukraine does look as…

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Truss manages to infuriate Nadine

Truss manages to infuriate Nadine

This is what happens when there is a change at Number 10. The new PM is likely to have his/her own agenda and the decisions of the previous leadership won’t always be followed. As to Truss going to the country I cannot see that happening. She is at Number 10 and is going to stay. Mike Smithson

A Tribute Act

A Tribute Act

There comes a moment with all governments in power for a long time when, desperate to conjure up some of the old magic, they reprise old popular tunes in the hope – or belief – that they will have the same effect as first time around. In October 1992 severe pit closures were announced. 30,000 jobs – mostly of miners in the Union of Democratic Mineworkers – would go. There were protests, not just from the usual suspects, but from…

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It’s very hard to see Truss doing a U-Turn

It’s very hard to see Truss doing a U-Turn

Dan might be right but I’ll be amazed if it happens From what we have seen of Liz Truss she does not look like the sort of PM who is ready to U-turn on a key policy less than a month after she entered Number 10. The problem for her is that Hodges has a big audience in the Mail on Sunday and his judgment on her big decision is going to be read by a large number of Tory…

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GE2019 CON voters give Truss a net MINUS 20% approval rating

GE2019 CON voters give Truss a net MINUS 20% approval rating

She doesn’t have a majority amongst current CON voters This is something that in all my years of studying and writing about polling that I have never seen before – a party’s supporters not even giving their leader an approval rating of 50% or more The above is from the latest Opinium poll for the Observer which was published last night and has a LAB lead of 19% on voting intention. What is significant about Opinium is that it was…

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No overall majority back as favourite in the GE betting

No overall majority back as favourite in the GE betting

The chart above shows the changes in the the next general election overall majority betting and as can be seen LAB has a slipped a touch and now no overall majority is back as favourite. Given the scale of some of the Labour leads in recent polls then it is hard to see why why this move has happened. The Tories seem a long way from being serious General Election contenders though that course could still happen. Hopefully we will…

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The Cost of Lizzing Crisis [1]

The Cost of Lizzing Crisis [1]

Remember key workers. We clapped for them a couple of years ago for a while. We were brutally reminded that it is not, in fact, the high and mighty, the wealthy and self-important, those with the most or those with the loudest voices, who make every day ordinary society work.  It is the doctors, the nurses, the healthcare workers, the ambulance drivers and paramedics, the care home assistants, the bus and train drivers, the postmen, the supermarket workers, the farmers,…

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A damning attack on Truss from ConservativeHome

A damning attack on Truss from ConservativeHome

Could there be an early exit for the PM? This should be worrying for Number 10 if only because it could encourage Tory MPs to initiate a confidence vote. It certainly chimes with just about every single Tory who has expressed a view to me. I’ve had a bet on a 2023 exit and have now put a little bit on her going this year. Mike Smithson