But De Santis now the betting favourite In the next few months I expect to see both DeSantis and Trump putting their hats into the ring in the fight for Republican WH2024 nomination This looks set to be a long and fierce fight and it is hard at this stage to make a judgement as to which one will do it. That we can now contemplate a serious challenge to the former president is quite remarkable. I didn’t really expect…
There’s going to be much more of this We now have had the mid terms which in historical terms have not been as bad for the incumbent President as they might have been. But Joe Biden should not think that this gives him a platform to fight again to retain the presidency in 2024. He’s just too old and it’s showing and this will increasingly be an issue as the above Tweet makes clear. The week after next will be…
This is how the New York Times is describing it: Donald Trump faced unusual public attacks from across the Republican Party on Wednesday after a string of midterm losses by candidates he had handpicked and supported, a display of weakness as he prepared to announce a third presidential campaign as soon as next week..As the sheer number of missed Republican opportunities sank in, the rush to openly blame Mr. Trump was as immediate as it was surprising…Conservative allies criticized Mr….
One of the aspects of American politics that is not always appreciated in the UK is that each of the 50 states have different election laws. In Georgia they have a rule that unless a candidate wins more than 50% of the vote in an election then there is a run off with the top 2 a few weeks later. Given the overall state of where things stand after yesterday’s voting it could be that the likely Georgia runoff will…
The 76-year-old slips sharply in the WH2024 betting At this stage in the Midterms’ analysis the big winner for the Republicans was the Florida Governor, Ron DeSantis, who held onto his position with an increased majority. He now appears to be in strong position to go for the WH2024 Republican nomination. Trump had played a huge part in the MidTerms by only giving his backing to those GOP candidates ready to accept his big lie about WH2020. According to reports…
It’s going to be a long night with many state results not expected for days. One state that looks set to count early is New Hampshire where the Senate seat that is up is held by the Democrats. If they manage to hold on then Biden’s party could fare reasonably well. Losing the Senate seat there would be a very bad omen. What makes this interesting is that this should be one of the first sets of results to come…
I was very struck by the above table showing how much money has been spent on some of the Senate campaigns where voting takes place today. Clearly far less is spent in the less competitive races and it will be interesting to compare the results with this table. I have featured this as a way of demonstrating how politics in the United States is so very different from what we have in the UK where there are very strict controls…