If the Tories were hoping that the New Year might see a change in their dire polling situation then they will have been disappointed. We’ve now seen enough polls carried out since the start of the year to come to that conclusion. What is clear is that the autumn change of leadership to first Truss and then Sunak has had no impact on how voters see the current party of government. This all comes as we get closer to when…
How long before the monarchy becomes an issue?
s
We have not shown this chart for a few weeks but it represents what is going on and what will be the biggest market of all in the next couple of years. The big mover upwards is 80 year old Biden while Florida governor DeSantis is on the decline. Trump on a 13% chance is not rated as strongly as he was. Biden has already put a campaign structure in place for the 2024 election and provided there is no…
It was on Sunday that this interview first went out and yet the issue that it raises is still causing problems for Number 10. I wouldn’t be surprised if Starmer chooses to bring it up at PMQs. Clearly there is a lot of sensitivity to the fact that the PM compared with the vast bulk of voters is fabulously rich. By refusing to answer Sunak is effectively saying yes he does have a private GP. This matters because in the…
Interesting set of poll results from R&W which no doubt will give a boost to those in the Tory Party who would like Boris Johnson back. What can be seen from the Tweet there has been very little difference on this since October when the first polling took place shortly after Johnson felt he had to quit. The former PM has a lot of support amongst his party base and that is not changing. His problem is the wider electorate….
MPs are back at Westminster today and no doubt a big topic of conversation will be the latest polling which shows very little difference compared with what it was before the holidays. The Tories are still in dire territory and if this was repeated at a general election then hundreds of CON MPs would lose their jobs. If the hope was that by electing Sunak they were backing an election winner then those hopes have been totally dashed. I think…